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Substance Abuse in States and Metropolitan Areas:
Model Based Estimates from the 1991-1993 National Household Surveys on Drug Abuse

CITATION:

Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration, Office of Applied Studies (1996) Substance Abuse in States and Metropolitan Areas:  Model Based Estimates from the 1991-1993 National Household Surveys on Drug Abuse. OAS Analytic Paper, DHHS Publication No. (SMA) 96-3095, Rockville, MD., September 1996.

Table of Contents (TOC)

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List of Exhibits

Executive Summary

1. Introduction

1.1 Drug Use Measures

1.2 Need for Small Area Estimates

1.3 Quality/Usefulness of the Estimates

2. Methodology Used

2.1 Potential Estimation Strategies for Small Areas

2.2 Small Area Estimation Method Used

2.3 Fitting the Small Area Estimation Model

2.3.1 Data Used

2.3.2 States and MSAs selected for estimation

2.3.3 Summary of methodology

2.3.4 Confidence Intervals

3. State And MSA Small Area Estimates

3.1 Cigarette And Alcohol Use

3.2 Illicit Drug Use

3.3 Dependence On Substances

3.4 Treatment For Substance Abuse

3.5 Arrested For Any Crime In Past Year

4. Method Evaluation

4.1 Evaluation Strategies

4.2 Results of the Evaluations

4.3 Summary of the Evaluations

Appendices:

Footnotes

 

 List of Exhibits

 

  • Exhibit 2.1 - - 1990 Census Variables Used to Model Prevalence of Substance Abuse
  • Exhibit 2.2A - - States Selected for Inclusion in the Study: Population Size and NHSDA Sample Characteristics
  • Exhibit 2.2B - - MSA Small Areas Selected for Inclusion in the Study: Population Size and NHSDA Sample Characteristics
  • Estimated Number of Persons Aged 12 and Older (In Thousands):

    Estimated Percentage of Population Aged 12 and Older:

  • Exhibit 3.3A - - Using Substances for 26 States
  • Exhibit 3.3B - - With Substance Abuse Problems for 26 States
  • 95% Confidence Bounds for Percent of Population Aged 12 and Older:

    Summary of evaluation of the final SAE model:

    Comparison of Alternative Small Area Estimators to Direct Survey Estimates from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS):

    This page was last updated on June 16, 2008.